This page reports on Mie Prefecture's latest damage assessment for a massive Nankai Trough earthquake, estimating up to 50,000 deaths, with over 80% caused by tsunamis (41,000 deaths). However, if evacuation occurs immediately after the earthquake, tsunami deaths could be significantly reduced to 15,000-9,400. This represents a decrease from the 2014 estimate of 53,000 deaths, attributed to tsunami evacuation tower construction and building seismic reinforcement. The prefecture is establishing a specialized earthquake countermeasures ordinance and will begin formulating new disaster prevention plans in fiscal 2026.
