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南海トラフ死者、最大5万人 三重県想定、津波で8割超|47NEWS(よんななニュース)

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Apr 3, 2026, 01:17 PM

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This page reports on Mie Prefecture's latest damage assessment for a massive Nankai Trough earthquake, estimating up to 50,000 deaths, with over 80% caused by tsunamis (41,000 deaths). However, if evacuation occurs immediately after the earthquake, tsunami deaths could be significantly reduced to 15,000-9,400. This represents a decrease from the 2014 estimate of 53,000 deaths, attributed to tsunami evacuation tower construction and building seismic reinforcement. The prefecture is establishing a specialized earthquake countermeasures ordinance and will begin formulating new disaster prevention plans in fiscal 2026.

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