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https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-why-scientists-think-100-of-global-warming-is-due-to-humans

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Analysis: Why scientists think 100% of global warming is due to humans - Carbon Brief

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Analysis: Why scientists think 100% of global warming is due to humans - Carbon Brief

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このページは、科学者たちが気候変動の100%が人間の活動によるものであると考える理由について分析しています。人間の活動が温室効果ガスの主要な原因であることや、これらのガスが気温上昇に与える影響について詳しく述べられています。また、温暖化の進行に対する科学的根拠や証拠、そして国際的な気候政策の重要性についても触れられており、人間の行動が他の自然要因を上回ることが強調されています。

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このページは、現代の地球温暖化に対する人間の寄与についての科学的見解を分析しています。アメリカのエネルギー長官が人間の活動が100%温暖化の原因であるという主張を否定する一方で、IPCCの報告によれば、1950年以降の観測された温暖化の約100%は人間の排出と活動によるものとされています。1850年以降の長期的な温暖化は、ほぼすべて温室効果ガスと人間の活動によって説明可能であり、温暖化が温室効果ガスのみによる場合、実際の温暖化よりも約3分の1多くなると予測されます。人間が生成するエアロゾルによる冷却効果があるため、実際の温暖化はそれに抑制されています。2100年までにエアロゾルの減少が予測されており、それにより温暖化が温室効果ガスからの影響に近づく見通しです。

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Tailpipe exhaust, Anchorage, Alaska, 2009. Credit: Daniel H. Bailey / Alamy Stock Photo.
GLOBAL TEMPERATURE 13 December 2017 16:59

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13.12.17
Climate pollutants
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12.13.17
Zeke Hausfather
13.12.2017 | 4:59pm
Global temperature Analysis: Why scientists think 100% of global warming is due to humans

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Tailpipe exhaust, Anchorage, Alaska, 2009. Credit: Daniel H. Bailey / Alamy Stock Photo.
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Animation by Rosamund Pearce for Carbon Brief. Images via Alamy Stock Photo.

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‘Forcings’ that change the climate
Human forcings match observed warming
Land areas are warming faster
What may happen in the future?
The role of natural variability
Conclusion
How much warming is caused by humans?
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