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https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-will-global-warming-stop-as-soon-as-net-zero-emissions-are-reached
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Explainer: Will global warming ‘stop’ as soon as net-zero emissions are reached? - Carbon Brief
Saved at: July 9, 2026 at 12:04 PM
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Explainer: Will global warming ‘stop’ as soon as net-zero emissions are reached? - Carbon Brief
Saved at: July 23, 2026 at 07:24 PM
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このページは、温暖化がネットゼロ排出に達した瞬間に止まるのかという疑問に焦点を当てています。科学的な見解によれば、温暖化の進行は排出削減に依存していますが、ゼロ排出達成後も温暖化の影響は続く可能性があります。理由として、温暖化が既に進行しているため、気候システムには遅延効果があること、また、自然環境や生態系は、過去の温室効果ガスの蓄積に応じて変化を続けることが挙げられます。このため、ネットゼロ排出を達成したとしても、温暖化の全ての影響が直ちに解消されるわけではないとされています。
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このページは、温室効果ガスの排出量がネットゼロに達することで、地球温暖化が止まるのかについて解説しています。過去の排出によって、将来の「固まった温暖化」が避けられないとする報道がある一方で、新しい証拠によれば、二酸化炭素（CO2）排出がゼロになると温暖化はほぼ止まることが示唆されています。科学者たちはこの見解を以前から認識しており、IPCCの2018年の特別報告にも類似の結果が含まれています。混乱の原因は、CO2濃度が現状のままとネットゼロによる減少を混同していることにあります。さらに、ゼロ排出の状況でもメタンや亜酸化窒素などの非CO2温室効果ガスの影響や、気候システムの長期的なフィードバックによる不確実性が残ります。また、排出がゼロになった後も温度は数世代にわたり安定し、気候変動の影響を逆転させるには大規模な負の排出が必要になります。
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Explainer: Will global warming ‘stop’ as soon as net-zero emissions are reached? - Carbon Brief Sections Science Climate modelling Extreme weather Health and Security Ice IPCC Nature Oceans People Temperature Energy China energy Coal Emissions Nuclear Oil and gas Other technologies Renewables Technology Policy China Policy EU policy International policy Other national policy Rest of world policy UK policy UN climate talks US Policy In Focus Country profiles DeBriefed Explainers Factchecks Features Guest posts Infographics Interviews Media analysis State of the climate Translations Webinars Daily Brief MENU About us China Briefing Comments Policy Contact Us Cookies Policy Cropped Daily Briefing DeBriefed Energy Coal Emissions Global emissions Rest of world emissions UK emissions EU emissions Nuclear Oil and gas Renewables Technology China energy Global South Climate Database Home In focus Country profiles Explainers Factchecks Features Guest posts Infographics Interviews Media analysis State of the climate Translations Webinars Nature Food and farming Nature policy COP15 Montreal COP16 Cali Plants and forests Wildlife Newsletters Newsletters Policy China Policy EU policy International policy Rest of world policy UK policy UN climate talks COP21 Paris COP22 Marrakech COP23 Bonn COP24 Katowice COP25 Madrid COP26 Glasgow COP27 Sharm el-Sheikh COP28 Dubai COP29 Baku COP30 Belém US Policy Privacy Policy Science Climate modelling Extreme weather Attribution Drought El Niño Floods Heatwaves Storms Wildfires Geoengineering Ice Antarctic Arctic Glaciers Sea ice IPCC Oceans Marine life Ocean acidification Ocean warming Sea level rise People Human security Public health Public opinion Risk and adaptation Science communication Temperature 1.5C Carbon budgets Climate sensitivity GHGs and aerosols Global temperature Hiatus Negative emissions Rest of world temperature Tipping points UK temperature
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Support us Thank you for subscribing Social Channels Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Instagram Youtube Rss SEARCH ARCHIVE Type All Types Articles Daily Brief Topic All Items 1.5C Antarctic Arctic Attribution Carbon budgets China Briefing China energy China Policy Climate modelling Climate sensitivity Coal COP15 Montreal COP16 Cali COP21 Paris COP22 Marrakech COP23 Bonn COP24 Katowice COP25 Madrid COP26 Glasgow COP27 Sharm el-Sheikh COP28 Dubai COP29 Baku COP30 Belém Country profiles Cropped DeBriefed Drought El Niño Emissions Energy EU emissions EU policy Explainers Extreme weather Factchecks Features Floods Food and farming Geoengineering GHGs and aerosols Glaciers Global emissions Global temperature Guest posts Health and Security Heatwaves Hiatus Human security Ice In Focus Infographics International policy Interviews IPCC Land and soils Marine life Media analysis Nature Nature policy Nature-2 Negative emissions Nuclear Ocean acidification Ocean warming Oceans Oil and gas Other national policy Other technologies People Plants and forests Policy Public health Public opinion Renewables Rest of world emissions Rest of world policy Rest of world temperature Risk and adaptation Science Science communication Sea ice Sea level rise State of the climate Storms Technology Temperature Tipping points Translations UK emissions UK policy UK temperature UN climate talks US Policy Webinars Wildfires Wildlife Sort Sort Results By Title (Deecending) Title (Ascending) Science Climate modelling Extreme weather Attribution Drought El Niño Floods Heatwaves Storms Wildfires Ice Antarctic Arctic Glaciers Sea ice IPCC Oceans Marine life Ocean acidification Ocean warming Sea level rise People Human security Public health Public opinion Risk and adaptation Science communication Temperature Hiatus 1.5C Carbon budgets Climate sensitivity Geoengineering GHGs and aerosols Global temperature Negative emissions Rest of world temperature Tipping points UK temperature Global South Climate Database Energy Coal Emissions EU emissions Global emissions Rest of world emissions UK emissions Nuclear Oil and gas Renewables Technology Policy China Policy EU policy International policy Rest of world policy UK policy UN climate talks COP21 Paris COP22 Marrakech COP23 Bonn COP24 Katowice COP25 Madrid COP26 Glasgow COP27 Sharm el-Sheikh COP28 Dubai COP29 Baku COP30 Belém US Policy Nature Nature policy COP16 ...
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Get an email round-up of all the key articles and studies selected by Carbon Brief. Find out more about each of our newsletters. Subscribe Loading... By entering your email address you agree for your data to be handled in accordance with our Privacy Policy Daily Briefing DeBriefed Cropped China Briefing Subscribe Loading... Thank you! You have successfully signed up to our newsletter(s). Receive a Daily or Weekly summary of the most important articles direct to your inbox, just enter your email below. By entering your email address you agree for your data to be handled in accordance with our Privacy Policy . Daily Briefing Weekly Briefing China Cropped --> Science Climate modelling Extreme weather Attribution Drought El Niño Floods Heatwaves Storms Wildfires Ice Antarctic Arctic Glaciers Sea ice IPCC Oceans Marine life Ocean acidification Ocean warming Sea level rise People Human security Public health Public opinion Risk and adaptation Science communication Temperature Hiatus 1.5C Carbon budgets Climate sensitivity Geoengineering GHGs and aerosols Global temperature Negative emissions Rest of world temperature Tipping points UK temperature Global South Climate Database Energy Coal Emissions EU emissions Global emissions Rest of world emissions UK emissions Nuclear Oil and gas Renewables Technology Policy China Policy EU policy International policy Rest of world policy UK policy UN climate talks COP21 Paris COP22 Marrakech COP23 Bonn COP24 Katowice COP25 Madrid COP26 Glasgow COP27 Sharm el-Sheikh COP28 Dubai COP29 Baku COP30 Belém US Policy Nature Nature policy COP16 Cali Food and farming Plants and forests Wildlife In focus Country profiles Explainers Factchecks Features Guest posts Infographics Interviews Media analysis Translations Webinars Daily Briefing Atmosphere with clouds and rainbow. Credit: IX Studio / Alamy Stock Photo. EMISSIONS 29 April 2021 15:00
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29.04.21 Climate system By:
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04.29.21 Zeke Hausfather 29.04.2021 | 3:00pm Emissions Explainer: Will global warming ‘stop’ as soon as net-zero emissions are reached?
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Atmosphere with clouds and rainbow. Credit: IX Studio / Alamy Stock Photo.
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Expert analysis direct to your inbox. Get a round-up of all the important articles and papers selected by Carbon Brief by email. Find out more about our newsletters here . Get a round-up of all the important articles and papers selected by Carbon Brief by email. Find out more about our newsletters here . Subscribe Loading... By entering your email address you agree for your data to be handled in accordance with our Privacy Policy . Daily Briefing DeBriefed Cropped China Briefing Subscribe Loading... Thank you! You have successfully signed up to our newsletter(s). Daily Briefing Weekly Briefing China Cropped -->
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Sharelines from this story Explainer: Will global warming ‘stop’ as soon as net-zero emissions are reached? Explainer: Why more global warming is not ‘inevitable’ once we reach net-zero emissions Comments View Comments ( 15 Comments ) Close Comments UNEP: Net-zero pledges provide an ‘opening’ to close growing emissions ‘gap’ Emissions | 9.12.2020 Expert analysis direct to your inbox. Get a round-up of all the important articles and papers selected by Carbon Brief by email. Find out more about our newsletters here . Get a round-up of all the important articles and papers selected by Carbon Brief by email. Find out more about our newsletters here . Subscribe Loading... By entering your email address you agree for your data to be handled in accordance with our Privacy Policy . Daily Briefing DeBriefed Cropped China Briefing Subscribe Loading... Thank you! You have successfully signed up to our newsletter(s). Daily Briefing Weekly Briefing China Cropped --> Published under a CC license . You are welcome to reproduce unadapted material in full for non-commercial use, credited ‘Carbon Brief’ with a link to the article. Please contact us for commercial use. SECTIONS Science
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Published under a CC license . You are welcome to reproduce unadapted material in full for non-commercial use, credited ‘Carbon Brief’ with a link to the article. Please contact us for commercial use. Published by Carbon Brief Ltd © 2026 – Company No. 07222041 Website by Wholegrain Back to top
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